Geographia Polonica (1994) vol. 63

Multiregional demographic projections: Polish experiences

Marek Kupiszewski

Geographia Polonica (1994) vol. 63, pp. 95-104 | Full text

The papers discusses the development of theoretical issues and applications of multistate and multiregional demographic projections in Poland. It is structured arround following problems: 1. Development of the theory of multistate demographic projections; 2. Generation of projections and analysis of their results as the source of knowledge on the current demographic situation in its spatial dimension; 3. Application of different parameters of projected population for better understanding and measurement of the dynamics of multiregional population; 4. Simulations; 5. Comparison of a series of projections for one time point, but using various types of data concerning spatial mobility of population; 6. Analysis and comparison of a series of projections for the constant spatial setting and for one type of data but using data for various years; 7. Generation of multistate projections; 8. Assessment of the exactness of multistate population projections. The paper ends with some remarks on future developments of multistate demography in Poland.

Keywords: multistate, multiregional, projection, forecast, Poland, demography, population

Marek Kupiszewski [], Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization Polish Academy of Sciences, Twarda 51/55, 00‑818 Warszawa, Poland